Guardians vs Padres Prediction - MLB Picks 6/15/23

San Diego Padres (33-34) vs Cleveland Guardians (31-36)

Game Info: Thursday, June 15, 2023 at 8:40 pm (Petco Park)

Ryan Weathers (1-4) (4.93) vs Logan Allen (3-2) (3.31)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -145 / Cleveland Guardians +120 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Cleveland Guardians will play the San Diego Padres in Game 3 of their series on Thursday night at Petco Park in San Diego, California. 

Guardians Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 31-36 this season and they have lost three of their last four Games. Prior to losing the first two Games in this series, Cleveland won two out of three Games against Houston. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average this year. The Guardians offense has scored 253 runs with a .241 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .281 with 10 home runs and 38 RBI’s for the Guardians. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Logan Allen, who is 3-2 with a 3.31 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 51.2 innings pitched this season.

Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres are 33-34 this season and they have won five of their last six Games. San Diego has won the first two Games in this series by scores of 6-3 and 5-0. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 285 runs with a .229 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Fernando Tatis is batting .283 with 14 home runs and 34 RBI’s for the Padres. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Ryan Weathers, who is 1-4 with a 4.93 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP over 38.1 innings pitched this season. 

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Trends

Cleveland is 22-7 in their last 29 Game three’s of a series and 5-12 in their last 17 road Games. The under is 13-3 in Cleveland’s last 16 Game three’s of a series. San Diego is 3-7 in their last 10 Game three’s of a series and 3-11 in their last 14 Thursday Games. The under is 11-3 in San Diego’s last 14 Game three’s of a series. The under is 6-1 in these two teams last 7 head to head meetings in San Diego.

Pick

The Padres have played better over the last week or so and they are almost back to .500 on the year. San Diego is starting Ryan Weathers, who has allowed 1, 4, 3, 4, and 4 earned runs over his last five starts. Cleveland is starting Logan Allen, who has allowed seven earned runs over his last two starts (12 IP). The under has been a great pick in these two teams recent Game three’s of a series and I like the under here as well. 

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